Euro 2028

Dates

9 June to 9 July 2028

Hosts

England, Scotland, Wales, Republic of Ireland

Format

24 teams, six groups of four, the four best third-placed teams go through, no third-place match

Status

Qualifying draw on 6 December 2026. The finals draw has not been held.

What will be here

The same seven chapters as the World Cup page, from the ratings the 24 teams carry into the tournament: who wins it, every group, the most likely bracket, the hosts, the underdogs, the paradoxes and a page per team, with the maths on its own page. The simulations run the day after the finals draw and are scored against the real tournament afterwards.

Model change

The Euro 2028 and Copa América 2028 runs add the Dixon–Coles correction for low-scoring draws, the one weakness the World Cup calibration showed.